27 October 2008, 13:06

New war in Georgia is on the edge, experts think

Russian and Georgian experts believe that recurrence of August events is possible in Georgia in near future.

Tengiz Ablotiya, a Tbilisi-based expert of the Centre of Extreme Journalism, has told the "Caucasian Knot" correspondent that in the last recent days skirmishes took place in the Abkhazia-South Ossetia border every night. "They shoot from Abkhazia and South Ossetia at Georgian territory and kill 1-2 persons every night there," said Mr Ablotiya.

"I don't believe that the warfare in Georgia is finally over. It looks very much that a new aggravation is not far off. In August, it all started similarly. At first, shelling was incidental, then frequent, and then - in the non-stop mode," the expert has added.

Sergey Markedonov, a Russian political scientist, has also noted that in the near future the situation will aggravate in the Gali and Akhalgori Districts. In his opinion, Saakashvili will never choose again a new August-scale direct confrontation with Russia, since his "NATO support is sooner moral than real", however, recurrence of the situation of early 1990s - diversions, provocations, attacks in media on Russia - is inevitable.

Besides, the above-quoted expert Tengiz Ablotiya also notes that the information disseminated by Georgian media on October 11-12 about an attempt on Saakashvili being prepared by Ossetians with support of Russian special agencies is not quite reliable. "Initially, the information about the prepared attempt was spread by some little-known Georgian website, then other editions republished it and, finally, a report was shown by the 'Rustavi-2' TV Channel. No convincing evidences were given: allegedly, accomplices met somewhere and talked about preparation of some terror act. The scandal didn't go any further, no more reports followed," said Mr Ablotiya.

He also finds improbable any support by Russia of the Georgian opposition who plan to hold their congress on November 7: "Most of oppositionists are unacceptable for Russia. Quite recently they reproached Saakashvili for being too shy in relations with Russia and exhibiting little toughness."

Author: Anastasia Kirilenko, CK correspondent;

All news

October 13, 2019 11:12

  • Pogorov's detention not confirmed

    Akhmed Pogorov, one of the leaders of the Ingush opposition, whose detention was reported on October 11 by anonymous sources, is at large, an advocate, Magomed Bekov, and an activist, Izabella Evloeva, have informed.

October 13, 2019 11:01

  • Advocate not admitted to Sautieva at Nalchik SIZO

    On October 10 and 11, the administration of the Nalchik SIZO (pre-trial prison) did not let the advocate, Fatima Urusova, to visit Zarifa Sautieva, Bilan Dzugaev, Urusova's colleague, has informed. According to his story, complaints are being prepared in this connection.

October 13, 2019 10:50

October 12, 2019 17:19

October 12, 2019 16:36

  • Forum of NKR's friends bring together over 150 people

    The participants of the international forum in Stepanakert have announced the creation of an international network of friends of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR). The forum was attended by over 150 people from nearly 30 countries and regions of the world.

News archive